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Table 3 Relationship between PSA value fluctuation rate and prostate cancer risk

From: Association of PSA variability with prostate cancer development using large-scale medical information data: a retrospective cohort study

1-PSA

Group

Total of

follow-up

period

(person-years)

No. of

onset of

prostate cancer

(case)

Incidence rate of prostate cancer

(case/1,000

person-years)

Unadjusted HR

(95% CI)

 

Adjusted HR

(95% CI)

 

All

Increase

(n = 475)

1135

41

36.1

1.32

(0.89–1.97)

 

1.34

(0.90–1.99)

 

Reference

(n = 914)

2205

60

27.2

1

 

1

 

Decrease

(n = 318)

733

11

15.0

0.55

(0.29–1.04)

 

0.562

(0.30–1.07)

 

4 ng/mL > 1-PSA

Increase

(n = 361)

955

11

11.5

2.91

(1.13–7.51)

*

2.94

(1.14–7.58)

*

Reference

(n = 656)

1781

7

3.9

1

 

1

 

Decrease

(n = 214)

517

2

3.9

0.98

(0.20–4.72)

 

0.94

(0.20–4.53)

 

4 ng/mL ≤ 1-PSA

Increase

(n = 114)

180

30

166.6

1.36

(0.87–2.14)

 

1.43

(0.91–2.26)

 

Reference

(n = 258)

424

53

125.0

1

 

1

 

Decrease

(n = 104)

216

9

41.7

0.35

(0.17–0.71)

**

0.36

(0.18–0.74)

**

4 ng/mL ≤ 1-PSA < 10 ng/mL

Increase

(n = 97)

166

20

120.4

1.18

(0.69–2.03)

 

1.31

(0.75–2.26)

 

Reference

(n = 222)

373

38

101.9

1

 

1

 

Decrease

(n = 70)

161

4

24.9

0.26

(0.09–0.73)

*

0.27

(0.10–0.76)

*

  1. Adjusted for age, past medical history (hepatic disease)
  2. **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05
  3. Note: HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; 1-PSA: PSA value that exists for the first time in the database